By: Sam Ekstrom | KFAN.com
The wait for top pitching prospect Kyle Gibson continues to drag on… and on.
Gibson—who has thrown two complete-game shutouts in three minor-league starts—appears as ready as ever to make his major-league debut following Tommy John surgery 18 months ago. But the reason for the delay may be strictly financial; not performance-based.
The Twins are potentially saving millions by ensuring that Gibson does not reach “Super Two” status in his first arbitration-eligible season.
A “Super Two” player is classified as follows: has between two and three years of major-league service time, appeared in 86 games the previous season, and ranks in the top 22 percent in playing time of players with between two and three years service. This final item is what the Twins are seeking to prevent.
If Gibson ranks in that top 22 percent following his third season (2015, in this case), he would be eligible for arbitration in 2016 through 2019; a total of four years. By holding him back now until the middle of June, the Twins ensure that Gibson will only be arbitration eligible for three years: 2017, 2018, and 2019.
So what difference does one year make? Possibly millions of dollars, depending on Gibson’s success.
An arbitration eligible player gets to lobby for a new deal based on the contracts of similar major-league players. For example, if Gibson went 14-5 in his season leading up to arbitration, he would be able to land a contract that compares to other players of similar age and ability.
Obviously, this type of performance would merit a multi-million dollar deal in arbitration. On the other hand, a player not eligible for arbitration would only receive the six-digit league minimum.
(Here is an article by ESPN Insider Jim Bowden that explains “Super Two” more in-depth.)
While clear standouts like Stephen Strasburg have been held back by the “Super Two” rule, Gibson’s holdup is not nearly as egregious. His last couple of seasons have been full of setbacks.
The 2009 first-round selection was 3-8 with a 4.81 ERA in 2011, and his 2012 campaign was truncated due to Tommy John. This season, despite dealing two shutouts in the month of May, Gibson has only thrown four quality starts in nine appearances.
Nonetheless, the major-league club’s starting staff is in dire need of help. Just take a look at the strikeout numbers.
Up until Vance Worley’s start against Atlanta on Wednesday, the Twins’ top two strikeout leaders were relievers Glen Perkins (25) and Jared Burton (23). Gibson, who owns an 8.1 K/9 for his minor-league career, could step in immediately and, at least, fool a hitter once in a while.
In a season that is beginning to spiral out of control, it feels more and more like Gibson—labeled for so long as Minnesota’s ace of the future—should get his shot. What do the Twins have to lose?
The answer would seem to be dollars.






